A Terror Attack: Many Signals (GS Paper 3, Terrorism)
Context
- The recent terror attack targeting employees of the infrastructure company constructing the Z-Morh tunnel in Jammu and Kashmir (J&K) serves as a critical wake-up call.
- It highlights the ongoing vulnerabilities in the region and suggests a resurgence of militant activities, necessitating a thorough examination of the situation.
The Recent Terror Attack
The attack is significant for two main reasons:
- Revival of Terror in J&K: It signals a troubling resurgence of terrorist activities in the region, undermining the hard-won peace and stability that had followed recent elections and the establishment of a democratic government in Srinagar.
- Larger Strategy: The timing and nature of the attack, along with a series of unusual activities leading up to it, indicate a calculated attempt to demonstrate vulnerabilities and instill fear.
Reviving Terror in Jammu & Kashmir
The situation in J&K is further complicated by the interests of the Pakistani deep state, which appears intent on destabilizing the region:
- Desire for Turmoil: Pakistan's military and intelligence agencies likely aim to prevent peace and stability in J&K, particularly in light of recent electoral successes that threaten their narrative.
- Narrative Control: The deep state is focused on maintaining its relevance by reasserting its influence over the Kashmir narrative. The abrogation of Article 370 has weakened Pakistan's claims, making a revival of terror essential to regain lost ground.
- Diversionary Tactics: The current violence, particularly in the Jammu region, serves as a distraction from the broader strategic goals, with Kashmir remaining the focal point of conflict.
Targeting Strategic Projects
Recent attacks have shifted focus toward critical infrastructure projects, which are vital for J&K's development:
- Key Projects at Risk:
- Z-Morh Tunnel: A flagship project requiring specialized labor, making it a prime target.
- Kishanganga Project: Strategically located near the Line of Control (LoC).
- Uri 1 and Uri 2 Hydroelectric Projects: Situated in the Jhelum Valley, crucial for energy supply.
- Railway Projects: Developments around Banihal and Qazigund are also under threat.
These projects represent significant progress for the region, and attacking them serves to undermine the narrative of normalcy and development.
Larger Pattern of Unusual Events
The Z-Morh attack is not an isolated incident but part of a broader pattern of unsettling events aimed at destabilizing India:
- Bomb Hoaxes: Threats targeting aircrafts indicate an intention to create panic.
- Explosions: Incidents like the explosions in Rohini, Delhi, highlight an unsettling trend of violence in unexpected areas.
- Diplomatic Pressure: Ongoing accusations against India regarding transnational activities further complicate its international standing and strategic confidence.
These occurrences suggest a coordinated strategy to place India on the defensive.
Political Response
The political landscape in J&K is also evolving in response to these threats:
- Unified Condemnation: Political leaders, including members of the Abdullah family, have condemned Pakistan's role in fomenting violence, emphasizing the need for a united political front against terrorism.
- Shift in Political Posturing: The absence of calls for dialogue with Pakistan in recent speeches indicates a significant change in the political narrative, reflecting a tougher stance against external threats.
Conclusion
- The proxy war in J&K remains a significant challenge.
- The recent attack serves as a stark reminder that despite a decrease in the frequency of violent incidents, complacency is not an option. India must enhance its security apparatus, focusing on the protection of critical infrastructure and countering Pakistan's efforts to revive terror networks in the region.
- Continued vigilance and proactive measures are essential to ensure the safety and stability of Jammu and Kashmir.
